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Players say the first question people
always ask when they hear about the celebrity death pool is, "Isn't
it disgusting?" The second question is, "How do you play?" Then, as fascination overcomes revulsion, the third question is "Who's on the list?" And the last question is usually, "Can I play?" The answer to the first question is yes — betting on which famous people are going to die in a give year is disgusting.
"It's morbid and tastless,"
allowed the Northfield man who started the annual small-
And, he points out, unlike your office NCAA
tournament pool, which you have probably lost already, the death pool lasts
all year — from late January until midnight New Year's Eve.
How do you play? Quietly. The founder and several
players I talked to insist that neither they nor their trading floor be named.
"It's not a secret," said a player from Forest Park, "but
I'm very selective about who I tell."
At the start of each year, entrants submit
a list of 10 names along with a $10 entry fee. The names may not include
Death Row inmates, anyone over 100 (the
Rose Kennedy
rule), anyone known to be on life support, or, the founder said,
"your Uncle Louie. I have to have heard of the person."
The organizers also offer bonus selections,
groups of famous people that count as only one pick. An example from this
year, Famous Sirs:
Sir Alec Guinness,
Sir John Gielgud,
Sir Georg Solti and
Sirhan Sirhan.
A bonus group last year consisted of
Dick York,
Dick Gregory,
Dick Butkus and
Bruce Willis.
All players then receive a scoring grid that
lists all the picks ranked by their frequency.
Who's on the list? No. 1 this year is former
East German leader
Erich Honecker,
80, who is known to be battling liver cancer and was selected by 23 of
the 42 participants.
But being No. 1 is no death sentence. 1991's
top pick,
Saddam Hussein,
not only made it through the year but now has such robust prospects his
name is not among the 146 selected by at east one player in 1993.
The list consists mostly of aging celebs and
those whose maladies have been well documented by the media — indeed,
though this game may be ghoulish and macabre, it is not inconsistent with
the general public's prying obsession with disease and death that is so
faithfully served by celebrity journalism.
The reason
Bill Bixby,
Jim Valvano and
Frank Zappa
are high on the list this year is not because players are privy to inside
medical information, after all.
"You watch TV, you read, you keep
track," said a North Side trader and veteran death pooler. "Everyone
keeps a short list running at all times for next year."
The winner is the player whose list contains
the greatest number of dead people by year's end. He takes home the entire
pot, minus the $10 refund awarded to the first person to be the only player
to forecast a notable demise. That refund this year went to the only person
to put 1st Ward power broker Pat Marcy on his list.
The founder said he knew of at least one
other pool in existencce at the time he started his contest, and he
periodically hears rumors of others elsewhere. The concept received
national attention in
Clint Eastwood's
1988 movie "The Dead Pool," a "Dirty Harry" sequel
in which Harry's name appears on a list compiled for an almost identical
pool.
When figures on the list begin to die
mysteriously, the
character in charge
of the betting insists "The
dead pool is just a harmless game."
"It sounds pretty sick to me,"
responds Dirty Harry, of all people.
Sick, yes, but consider the context, argued
the founder of the Chicago-
Investors who spend their days in effect
wagering millions of their own and other people's dollars on market
reactions to world events are famous for filing their spare time with
unusual side bets.
In your office, employees may put down a
few bucks on a basketball tournament. In their offices they put down a
few bucks on how much snow will fall in London this winter, the digits
they'll find on a random dollar bill, the number of yellow cards given
in a soccer match or the breakup date in
Princess Di's marriage to
Prince
Charles.
"It's a disease," explained a
currency trader who is not in the death pool. "Right now, I could
get you a price [betting line] on anything. Any election, The number
of of base hits this year by any Sox player. Literally anything."
The answer to the last question about the
death pool, "Can I play?" is generally no. The founder said he
freely distributes copies of the current score sheet to anyone who wants
to "play at home," as he put it, "But we don't want new
players," he said. "It gets to be a hassle keeping track."
Just as well. I guess I'd rather root for
Michigan to win than
Jim Valvano to
die. I hope they both make it all the way, in fact.
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